Dubai residential prices continue to fall but latest figures show rate of decline is slowing

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Nicholas Wallwork

Nicholas Wallwork

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Villa prices in Dubai are falling at a faster rate than apartment prices, according to the latest price index to be published.

Apartment prices fell 17% and the prices of villas plummeted 24% in the second quarter of this year, the index from Landmark Advisory shows.

Demand is up for villas as they are now regarded as being good value for money. The index shows that villas made up some 73% of all residential sales in the quarter.

Overall since peaking in the fourth quarter of last year, the prices for villas and apartments have fallen by 44% and 36% respectively, according to the data.

It also shows that average apartment rents in Dubai fell 23% in the same period while villa rents were down 19%. Since peaking in the third quarter of last year, villa rents have now dropped 31% overall and apartments rents are down 29% since their peak in the fourth quarter.

In the leasing market, Dubai landlords have pushed up rents temporarily by withholding properties from the leasing market, but in doing so they are only extending an inevitable decline, Landmark said.

High borrowing costs and disjointed lending practices are still having an adverse effect on the Dubai property market, Landmark analysts said.
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The supply demand gap is expected to continue to grow. Analysts are warning that the office market in particular is facing a massive over supply situation.

'Poor planning has created a supply glut that will take many years to resolve. The economic downturn is only part of the problem,' they said.

Buyers are continuing to favour completed developments rather than off-plan investments.

Landmark also reported that in Abu Dhabi, sales prices fell by up to 1% for apartments in the second quarter and 8% for villas compared with the previous quarter, but prices are unlikely to suffer further significant declines.



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Dxb agent

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.Prices are falling.. but at a decreasing rate. Many properties that were beyond reach due to high values, are becoming more easily accesible, hence the market is growing at the mid -level.. high end luxury properties are coming down to more sensible rates.
 
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financier888

New Member
stats?

Prices have dropped but 'are leveling-off' - which really means that owners sitting with units for rent or sale have lowered the price to what they perceive as 'their lowest price' - however - this is inconclusive as the units are really moving - sitting vacant.. and there are many of them with many more to come...

If you take the amount of sales recently reported and divide it by the number of existing registered brokers - it works out to 2 deals per brokerage firm!! and a very, very small fraction of sales of the existing inventory on the market..

I reckon many are waiting for Oct and Cityscape and expecting a 'rush' - which will not happen. As the season kicks in and the sale not forthcoming, compounded by more units hitting the market - owners / investors will have to make some hard choices when it comes to their sales or rental prices as they have to carry the units... (many of which hold multiple units) - expect further declines.. The demand is simply not there nor will be in the short run..

These various reports about 'prices leveling off' etc are misleading - as the % of transactions are minimal in relationship to the size of the existing inventory on the market and that which will be coming onto the market.. To bring in end users - more jobs need to be created as well as more attractive visa regulations - as the end users are now the primary market for resale... Although some investors may purchase to rent and get a good return, this is also dubious with so many vacant apartments - with the rents already dropped- sitting vacant. In addition, the rentals that are being rented out are from existing tenants moving from other flats that are higher priced - so the units they moved from - are back on the market... creating more downward pressure... Simply stated, there is an over supply that will take years to be absorbed and Dubai is not attracting much new business, with most businesses have already closed or scaled down considerably..

You're looking at 3-5 years.. and that will depend on how proactive the govt is when it comes to their visa policy and making it an attractive place to do business - as it stands now, Dubai is still too expensive and not competitive in the global market...
 
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mpat

New Member
The question is , Untill when this price fall will continue ???
 
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